Applying Turing Point Prediction in Forex Market – Trading Systems – 26 March 2022

In this article, we provide an explanation on how to apply the turning point prediction in Forex Market. Here we will be using Swing Size and Swing Age variable to identify the turning point probability for each price swing.

  • Swing Age is the count of candle bars from latest bar to the swing right end.
  • Swing Size is the count of candle bars from the swing right end to swing left end

As these two variable provides you the relative coordinate of the right end and left end of the price swing, you can locate the turning point value for each price swing. Check the screenshot to clarify your understanding.

In terms of application, the turning point prediction is useful as it quantifies your risk for trading between 0.0 and 1.0 (or 100%). Quantification in your trading is always good because you have something to stick as a guidance for your trading. When you do not have the guidance, you will often find that your emotion will ruin your trading.

There are two basic concepts in regards to the probability and some advanced concepts in regards to Mother Wave and Child Wave. For your own good, everyone should understand the basic concepts if you want to improve your trading performance in long run.

In the first basic concept, if the price reaches the turning point probability above 0.7 (or 70%), in this turning point probability range, you can look for the potential reversal opportunity. In another words, it is the good point to detect the directional change in the market. It could be either correction or global turning point.

In the second basic concept, if the price reaches the turning point probability between 0.0 and 0.5 (or 50%), you can find the good breakout opportunity. In another words, it is the good point to detect the continuation in the price movement. We will omit the advanced concepts here as it was already explained elsewhere.

If you do not have an access to the Turning Point Prediction, then it is fine as we provide the Turning Point Prediction for Forex Market for free.  Anyone can access the standard turning point prediction for your day trading for free of charge from the link below.

https://algotrading-investment.com/2020/10/23/price-prediction-for-day-trading/

At the same time, if you want to have the scanner for the MetaTrader 4 or MetaTrader 5, here is the links to Fractal Pattern Scanner. In Fractal Pattern Scanner, you can access the turning point probability scanner + mother wave breakout signals,  reversal signals, and many more advanced features.

https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/49170

https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/49169

https://algotrading-investment.com/portfolio-item/fractal-pattern-scanner/

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Earth Guide – Analytics & Forecasts – 26 March 2022

Introduction

Welcome to my guide for the expert-advisor Earth.
You can find the product here: https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/74578
You can find the live signal here: https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/1263438

Earth is an EA designed for EURUSD, so it is not recommended to use it elsewhere. 
The timeframe has no real impact on live trading but in order to have better test quality, the recommended timeframe is M1
This EA requires an Hedge account (not working on netting account), leverage 1:30 and above recommended.
The recommended broker is ICMarkets.

Concept

The idea behind Earth is simple: Identify and use patterns that have worked in the near past using homemade indicators that differentiate it from anything else on the market.

The EA uses a list of strategies:

  • Each one is independent.
  • Each one has a signal, a TP and an SL.
  • Each one is regularly updated depending of its performances.

This implies a perpetual evolution of the algorithm.

This process was entirely created and developed by myself without the using external software outside Metatrader.

Updates

As said above, Earth is a new concept of EA which needs to be updated frequently.

-Do I have to update it?

I very, very strongly recommend to update the EA. If you don’t, you will be gradually losing performance.
If this is a problem for you, you can follow my signal which is automatically updated,
so you won’t have to do it: https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/1263438

-How to be inform when the update is live? 

You will receive an MQL5 private message as soon as the update is available. I also alert on my discord myx.gg/discord in the channel #earth-EURUSD.

-How can I update Earth?

  1. Open the Navigator: View->Navigator (ctrl+N)
  2. Select Purchases: Market->My Purchases
  3. Select Earth and press the update button. (If you don’t see the update, restart mql5. Sometimes it takes few hours to be display inside MT5)

Risks

Earth is a recent experimental expert-advisor. It is important to consider that this EA does not have a long enough history to confirm its performance over the long term.

It uses past data to anticipate a high success rate, however the outcome is not guaranteed. Always remember that the market is unpredictable.

Sometimes people come to me shocked after installing Earth to tell me that it has hit several stoploss. This Expert-Advisor is necessarily going to hit some SL. You must understand this and manage your exposure in accordance with your risk profile. 

Earth could also be impacted by unforeseen events like a blackswan. This would impact the market by bringing high volatility, making it more difficult to read the pattern that we see in a more classic market.

There are several ways to manage your risk.
The risk per trade, the maximum number of trades, the equity SL and TP etc..
The risk per trade defines the percentage of the balance that will be lose in case of a SL (if the balance is enough, otherwise it will be higher).
The number of trades if important to combine with the risk per trade. If you set a risk per trade of 5% with 10 trades, you are willing to lose 10*5% = 50% if 10 trades are opened on the same period.
If you don’t want to risk too much or if you want to secure your profits, you can set a limit with the equity SL & TP, the EA will stop trade once the limit is reached.

Pricing

Earth’s price includes the cost of maintenance, which means hardware, electricity and operating time.
The system of monthly rental allows to not expose the customers to a stop of the updates which would make the robot less efficient over the time.
This system also allows you to reinvest your profits to cover the cost of the Expert-Advisor.

Each month in profit (based on my signal), the monthly cost will increase, each month in loss, it will decrease.

Inputs (UNFINISHED PART)

-Account type: Select your broker account type between ECN and Standard. It will calculate TP and SL depending on your account type.

  1. ECN: ECN accounts have low spread, (usually 0) but have a commission per trade.
  2. Standard: Standard accounts have a larger spread but no commission. 

Volume calculation type:

  1. only_initial_lot: Select this option if you want the order to always have the select initial lot.
  2. risk_per_trade: Select this option to determine the order volume by the risk on your balance, in percentage. For example: If I have a 10,000$ balance, and I use 1% risk per trade, each SL hit will cost around 100$. 

Percentage risk per trade: Define the risk per trade  if you have chosen the risk_per_trade option.

Initial lot: Define the initial lot if you have chosen the only_initial_lot option.

Maximum lot size per order: Define a maximum lot size that the EA will use for each order.

Use trailing: Choose if you want to activate the trailing stop (choose false to deactivate). I do not recommend to enable this option.

Trailing start: Set the distance to start the trailing if the trailing option is true, in points.

Trailing distanceSet the trailing distance if the trailing option is true, in points.

Maximum spread: Define the maximum spread to open an order. Set 0 if you don’t want to filter spread. If active, or that have a spread above the limit will not be open.

Maximum number of orders:  Defines the maximum number of orders that the EA can open at the same time. If you set 0, the EA will not open order. This number is important because it i

Earth chart color: Choose if you want to use the Earth custom chart color. Using false will use the default color.

Magic number: A unique number for the EA to identify the orders. Use a different magic number from your other EA.

Equity TP: Set an equity TP. Set to 0 to disable this feature

For example, if you start with a 300 usd balance, you can set a target of 500 usd. If the equity goes above 500 usd, the EA will close all orders and stop the trading until you change this limit or withdraw your balance.

Equity SLSet an equity SL. Set to 0 to disable this feature. 

For example, if you start with a 300 usd balance, you can set a stoploss of 100 usd. If the equity goes below 100 usd, the EA will close all orders and stop the trading until you change this limit or adjust your balance.

Settings

There are many ways to manage your risk. I’ll summarize it all in a simple table:

Low risk Medium risk High risk All in 
Percentage risk per trade 0.5% 1% 2% 5%
Maximum number of orders 3 5 10 20

Recommended broker

Some people can see that they have different results between their Broker and my Earth EURUSD signal. 

Indeed, the EA Earth trades according to the data it receives from the broker and the values that some indicators may have. This information comes directly from the broker via the data received in real time, but also the liquidity available. The brokers do not use the same data and liquidity providers. This results in a possible disparity of signals from some brokers, especially those of poor quality.

My recommended broker for Earth is ICMarkets.

I have been working with ICMarkets for several years and it is by using their data that I develop my EAs. That’s why I recommend this broker.  
What people think about ? They have 4.9/5⭐ on Trustpilot for ~20000 reviews.

Why do I use ?

– Zero spread on major pairs
– Fast trade execution, ideal for an Expert Advisor
– Effective support that answers my questions in 2 minutes
– Simple deposit & withdrawal
– Access to the 1:500 leverage

You can try on a demo account for free.
Support my work by using this link: https://www.icmarkets.com/?camp=56886

Forex rebates 

Forex rebates are a portion of the transaction cost that is paid back to the client on each trade, resulting in a commission discount, a lower spread or a cashback that you can directly send to your paypal account. This improved win ratio or help you to pay the VPS each month.
Many traders initially believe there must be higher costs elsewhere to compensate, however there is no catch and rebates truly reduce the costs of the transaction and improve their bottom line.

-How do forex rebates work?

When you link a new or existing forex trading account, the broker pays the rebate provider part of their spread or commission profit for every trade you make as compensation for referring a customer to them. They share the majority of their revenue with you, paying you a cash rebate for each trade you make as thank you for signing up with us.

If you already have a trading account (like ICMarkets), you can connect it to cashbackforex in order to have a commission discount like I have on my signal account. It just takes 2 minutes to setup, and it’s free!

I’ve been using this service for couple years now and I can personally recommend it. 
If you want to support my work, please use this link: https://www.cashbackforex.com/%23aid_351776.

Example: Here is the concrete application of the spread reduction on my Earth signal, it took me 2 minutes to make the request.

VPS

I use the same Windows VPS for more than 2 years now for my personal EAs & my signals. They offer a execution (for ICMarkets select Piscataway server).
It is the best price/performance ratio I have found so far. You can install multiple metatraders on windows. 
Give it a try: myx.gg/vps

FAQ (UNFINISHED PART)

coming soon

Conclusion

Earth is an expert-advisor that I have been developing for several years and that requires a lot of my time. After many, many iterations, the results are getting better and better. 

I will continue to improve it over time to always outperform my goals. I am also testing other pairs that I may add in the future. 

If you like my work, feel free to leave me a review.

Have a good day, 

Arthur

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MH Expert Advisor With Hedging 1% – Trading Systems – 26 March 2022

Minimum balance required

If deposit $100 use cent account

If deposit $500 use cent account

If deposit $900 use cent account

If deposit  $1000 use micro account.

MH Expert Advisor works for this pairs:

  • Currency pairs: EUR/USD
  • Timeframe: M5
  • Leverage: 1:500

Parameter settings for EUR/USD M5

  • MINIM_DAILY_PROFIT = 10000
  • BATAS_FREE_MARGIN = 50
  • JAM_ON   = 1
  • JAM_OFF  = 23
  • HEDGING = true
  • PARAMETER0 PROSENTASE FLOATING MINUS
  • prosentase_floating_minus = 1
  • PARAMETER1 = RSI
  • PERIOD_RSI = 14
  • LEVEL_OS = 30
  • LEVEL_OB = 70
  • SHIFT_RSI = 1
  • digit_belakang_lot = 2
  • lots = 0.01
  • USE_COMPOUND = true
  • KETAHANAN = 133333
  • tp_in_money = 999999
  • TP = 50
  • SL = 0
  • USE_MARTY = true
  • range = 35
  • multiplier = 1.5
  • MAX_OP_BUY = 5
  • MAX_OP_SELL = 5
  • MagicNumber = 12345
  • Slippage = 3

Buy or rent The MH Expert Advisor https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/35685

Demo account using MH Expert Advisor https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/776497

Recommendation broker

Support all broker select ECN account. If you change the parameter settings. Please try a demo account first until 3 months.

BEST TRADING PLAN USING THE MH EXPERT ADVISOR

If initial deposit of $1000. And the price drops, the loss balance reaches 50%. Funds must be added to the account according to the initial deposit of $1000 to avoid margin calls and account burnings.

Disclaimer

Forex trading has a risk of losing all your money. Martingale and hedging systems that we have used now are kind of risky in the forex trading considering they involve a lot of lots. We do not encourage newbies and beginners to take these systems and strategies because you would lose your money and forex account as well. There is no warranty if the automatic system would generate profits in the future.

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Supply and Demand Zone with Harmonic Pattern Indicator – Trading Systems – 25 March 2022

Supply and Demand Zone are the most important concept for your trading. Supply and Demand zone can be effectively combined with Harmonic Pattern Indicator to improve your trading performance. This is not about the number but about geometry. Your ability to combine these geometry together with Harmonic Pattern Indicator can typically form the secret trading recipes for your successful career. Here is the list of Supply and Demand Zone Indicator that can go together with your harmonic pattern indicator.

Mean Reversion Supply Demand

Classic supply and demand zone indicator. This tools is the great to produce highly accurate supply and demand zone.

https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/16823

https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/16851

https://algotrading-investment.com/portfolio-item/mean-reversion-supply-demand/

Ace Supply Demand Zone 

This is also great supply and demand zone tool extending the ability of Mean Reversion Supply Demand. What is even better?  This is non repainting one. This is the great tool for different level of trader.

https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/40076

https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/40075

https://algotrading-investment.com/portfolio-item/ace-supply-demand-zone/

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Projecting Significant Channels into Future with EFW Analytics – Trading Systems – 25 March 2022

Projecting Significant Channels into Future with EFW Analytics

EFW Analytics is a powerful tool for your trading. EFW analytics contains multiple of features. One of them is project significant channels into future (available from version 10.6). The concept behind this is similar to viewing neighboring Channel feature. The difference is that this feature project the channels into future instead of showing them the past footage. Of course, this is fully automatic feature in just one button click. To project the channels into upper price range, just click “Upper” button. To project the channels into lower price range, just click “Lower” button. Once button is clicked, EFW analytics will show 1 to several important lines for your trading. If you want to fine tune the lines, then you can check their rating information. To do so, just move your mouse over each line. Then you can read rating of each channel in your chart. If you believe that some lines are absolutely important, then make sure that you lock them in your chart for nurture reference. To lock the lines, just click over the lines. That is all. Your trading will be ready in 1 minutes. No rocket science at all. It is just one button click.

Below is the link to the EFW Analytics (Equilibrium Fractal Wave Analytics):

https://algotrading-investment.com/portfolio-item/equilibrium-fractal-wave-analytics/

https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/27703

https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/27702

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Advanced Supply Demand Zone Indicator – Trading Systems – 24 March 2022

Here is the list of Advanced Supply Demand Zone Indicator. These supply and demand zone indicators are rich in features with many powerful features to help you to trade the right supply and demand zone to trading.

Mean Reversion Supply Demand

Mean Reversion Supply Demand indicator is our earliest supply demand zone indicator and loved by many trader all over the world. It is great to trade with reversal and breakout. You can also fully setup your trading with stop loss and take profit target.

Below are the links to the Mean Reversion Supply Demand indicator for MetaTrader 4/MetaTrader 5.

https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/16823

https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/16851

https://algotrading-investment.com/portfolio-item/mean-reversion-supply-demand/

Ace Supply Demand Zone

Ace Supply Demand Zone indicator is our next generation supply demand zone indicator. It was built in non repainting and non lagging algorithm. On top of many powerful features, you can also make use of archived supply and demand zone in your trading to find more accurate trading opportunity.

Below are the links to the Ace Supply Demand Zone indicator for MetaTrader 4/MetaTrader 5.

https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/40076

https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/40075

https://algotrading-investment.com/portfolio-item/ace-supply-demand-zone/

For your information, both mean reversion supply demand and Ace supply demand zone indicator uses completely different algorithm in detecting supply and demand zone.

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FX Market Update – Analytics & Forecasts – 24 March 2022

President Biden joins his NATO, G7 and EU counterparts to discuss the month-long war in Ukraine; focus here will be on whether the US and Europe agree on additional sanctions. We remain constructive on the USD outlook broadly and anticipate continued strength against the low-yielders in particular as US rates push higher.

VB

Click here to learn more

The GPB was rescued from losses into the mid-1.31s by a solid beat in PMIs data published today, while still holding to a 0.1/2% decline on the session and a failure to recoup the 1.32 handle. The country’s composite PMI came in at 59.7 vs 57.5 expected and 59.9 previously, with the services sector index—climbing 0.5 points compared to a 2.5 points drop in manufacturing—behind the bulk of the resilience in the headline reading. However, prices charged inflation jumped to a record high (since 1999), which combined with the war in Ukraine, saw business optimism fall to a 17- month low. Gilts are again outperforming Bunds and USTs—although UK yields are up today versus yesterday’s decline. UK debt led yesterday owing to a significantly lower than expected debt issuance plan released by the DMO alongside Sunak’s budget update (the GBP ignored the news). The Chancellor announced a £9bn support plan for households that included tax cuts, a lower fuel duty, and increased grants, but the OBR estimates that Brits will still face a 2.2% decline in disposable incomes over the 2022 fiscal year. The OBR’s projections also provided some insight into how the BoE’s forecasts will change in its May MPR. The estimates show that a bank rate of 1.61% by end-22 that peaks at 1.9% in Q3-23 (as implied by market pricing ahead of the forecast exercise) is accompanied by inflation falling to 1.2% in Q1-24. Market pricing was depressed in the sampling period owing to Ukraine war risks, which means that similar BoE forecasts due out in May that incorporate a 2% Bank Rate by year-end (and almost 2.25% in Feb 2023, latest OIS pricing) would likely show a larger undershooting of inflation. Markets should take the OBR’s forecasts (and their implication for the May MPR) as a sign that the BoE will not move as quickly as hike bets imply and will likely have to push back against hawkish expectations soon. We believe the GBP faces downside risk to 1.28 on a re-pricing of BoE expectations while the Fed moves ahead and meets market pricing.

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Oil: expecting of further price growth – Analytics & Forecasts – 24 March 2022

Since the opening of today’s trading day, Brent oil quotes have been rising again, touching the mark of $120.00 per barrel at the beginning. Based on the hard fundamental background, we expect further price growth. From a technical point of view, a breakdown of the local resistance level of 120.00 (today’s maximum) may become a signal to enter long positions (or increase them). Pullback to short-term support levels 115.00, 110.10 can also be used to increase long positions, although aggressive buyers will probably find it possible to enter the market at current prices. Fears about the impact of new sanctions on Russian oil supplies and the absence of a nuclear deal with Iran continue to drive demand. Other (besides Iran and Russia) major oil producers, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, are not able to increase production quickly.

The next OPEC meeting will be held next week. At a meeting in March, it was decided to increase oil production by OPEC+ countries in April 2022 by 400 thousand barrels per day, to 41.694 million barrels per day. The oil coalition believes that the oil market is currently well balanced, and the current volatility is caused by geopolitical events.

It is likely that the OPEC+ countries will remain committed to this plan, which is unlikely to have a negative impact on oil prices. The OPEC+ should completely remove restrictions on production while maintaining the same rate of increase in production in September 2022.

Of the economic news for today, which will cause volatility in the financial market, investors will pay attention to the publication (at 12:30 GMT) of data on orders for durable goods and capital goods (excluding defense and aviation) in the United States (capital goods – durable goods used to produce durable goods and services) involving large investments.

February forecast: -0.5% (durable goods orders), +0.5% (capital goods orders excluding defense and aviation), worse than previous values ​​(+1.6% and +0.9%, respectively). This is negative information for the dollar. Probably, only the data better than the previous values ​​will have a positive impact on the dollar.

Support levels: 115.00, 110.10, 103.26, 100.00, 95.70, 87.70, 85.75, 83.50, 77.30, 65.50

Resistance levels: 120.00, 130.00, 131.00

See also – >  Trading recommendations

*) the most up-to-date “hot” analytics and trading recommendations (including entries into trades “by-the-market”) – -> Telegram

**)   Get no deposit StartUp bonus up to 1500.00 USD

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Volatility Indicator for Day Trading – Trading Systems – 24 March 2022

Volatility indicator can help you to detect any statistical advantage for your day trading. Especially, if you are trading with Price Action and Price Patterns, then we recommend using the Volatility indicator together with your strategy. Without the volatility indicator, you can make small and big mistakes often. We provide the advanced volatility indicators for MetaTrader 4 and MetaTrader 5 platform.

Fibonacci Volatility Indicator

Fibonacci Volatility indicator can provide the market volatility in visual form in your chart for your trading. You can use Daily, Weekly, Monthly and Yearly Volatility for your trading. The most important application of this Volatility indicator is to detect the potential breakout area, potential bullish reversal area and potential bearish reversal area. When you want to visualize the Volatility for your trading, this is the best tool available in the market. Additionally, you can also use the Movable Volatility indicator and you can set the alert at low and high volatile area in your chart.

https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/52671

https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/52670

https://algotrading-investment.com/portfolio-item/fibonacci-volatility-indicator/

Harmonic Volatility Indicator

Harmonic Volatility indicator also provides the market volatility in visual form in your chart for your trading. This tool can be used to visualize the Daily, Weekly, Monthly and Yearly Volatility.  The difference between Harmonic Volatility indicator and Fibonacci Volatility indicator is that you can only use Probability Configuration mode in the Harmonic Volatility indicator whereas in the Fibonacci Volatility indicator you can access both Probability Configuration and Z Score configuration. This is cheaper than Fibonacci Volatility indicator. Hence, this is the light version of the Fibonacci Volatility indicator.

https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/29008

https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/29004

https://algotrading-investment.com/portfolio-item/harmonic-volatility-indicator/

Double Harmonic Volatility Indicator

This is the cheapest Volatility indicator. This indicator is specialized in the Movable Volatility indicator mostly. Hence, if you only need the Movable Volatility indicator and you want to have more cost effective tool, then use this. However, if you want to have more choice in the Volatility visualization, then use either Harmonic Volatility indicator or Fibonacci Volatility indicator.

https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/23779

https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/23769

https://algotrading-investment.com/portfolio-item/double-harmonic-volatility-indicator/

GARCH improved Nelder Mead – Free indicator

This is free Volatility indicator that implements the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) methods with Nelder Mead algorithm. This is bit of experimental indicator to realize the GARCH (1,1) model. Hence, we provide this indicator for free. It would be interesting to see how this Volatility indicator works for your trading.

https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/6918

https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/6910

https://algotrading-investment.com/portfolio-item/garch-improved-nelder-mead/

In addition, you can watch this YouTube video titled as “Volatility Indicator for Day Trading” to feel what the Volatility indicator looks like in MetaTrader 4 and MetaTrader 5 platform.

YouTube Video “Volatility Indicator for Day Trading” : https://youtu.be/erWhucDT_6M

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Harmonic Pattern Scanner MT4 – Trading Systems – 23 March 2022

MetaTrader 4 is one of the most popular trading platform since 2010. It is accessible for free of charge for any trader from all over the world. We provide a range of powerful harmonic pattern scanner particularly for MetaTrader 4 platform. For your information, Harmonic Pattern Plus and Harmonic Pattern Scenario Planner is repainting. Below is the list:

1. Harmonic Pattern Plus MT4

One of the first automated Harmonic Pattern Scanner released in 2014. It can detect 11 most popular harmonic patterns with well-defined trading entries and stops. Pattern Completion Interval, Potential Reversal Zone and Potential Continuation Zone are supported. In addition, other dozens of powerful features are added like Japanese candlestick detection, etc.

https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/4488

https://algotrading-investment.com/portfolio-item/harmonic-pattern-plus/

2. Harmonic Pattern Scenario planner MT4

It is an advanced Harmonic Pattern Scanner. On top of the features of Harmonic Pattern Plus, you can also predict future harmonic patterns through simulation. This is the tactical harmonic pattern scanner designed for Professional harmonic pattern trader.

https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/6240

https://algotrading-investment.com/portfolio-item/harmonic-pattern-scenario-planner/

3. X3 Chart Pattern Scanner MT4

This is our next generation Harmonic Pattern scanner. This is non-repainting and non-lagging Harmonic Pattern scanner. On top of that, this tool can detect Elliott Wave Pattern and X3 Price Patterns. It can detect over 20 Chart Patterns derived from Fractal Wave. As a bonus, this tool can detect around 52 bearish and bullish Japanese candlestick patterns. This is the most advanced Harmonic and Elliott wave pattern scanner in the market. You must try.

https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/41992

https://algotrading-investment.com/portfolio-item/profitable-pattern-scanner/

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